Football Pro Pack vs Football Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.925x cash-out ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.861x, across 4,003 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Pro Pack | Football Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $50.19 | $25.85 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.861x | 0.925x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.004x | 1.034x |
| Median pull | $43.20 | $22.30 |
| Hit rate | 28.1% | 28.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.52x | 0.51x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,528 | 2,475 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Pro Pack: 993 points from Jul 17 to Oct 25, starting at 1.47x and ending at 0.86x, down overall (-41.6%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.47x. Football Starter Pack: 983 points from Jul 28 to Oct 25, starting at 0.68x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+35.4%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Pro Pack vs Football Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Pro Pack or Football Starter Pack?
- Football Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.925x vs 0.861x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Pro Pack: 28.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Starter Pack: 28.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.51x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies