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Football Platinum Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.914x cash-out ratio against Sports Platinum Pack's 0.900x, across 47 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Platinum PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$500$500
Calibrated EV$528.59$519.48
Cash-out ratio0.914x0.900x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.057x1.039x
Median pull$425.60$432.80
Hit rate39.4%21.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.41x0.46x
Pulls indexed3314

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Platinum Pack: 538 points from Aug 6 to Sep 30, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+42.4%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.14x. Sports Platinum Pack: 516 points from Aug 8 to Sep 30, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+29.1%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.04x.

Football Platinum PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Football Platinum Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Platinum Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Football Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.914x vs 0.900x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Platinum Pack: 39.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 21.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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