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Football Platinum Pack vs Football Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.065x cash-out ratio against Football Pro Pack's 0.883x, across 1,943 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Platinum PackFootball Pro Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$500$50
Calibrated EV$612.62$51.47
Cash-out ratio1.065x0.883x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.225x1.029x
Median pull$443.75$43.40
Hit rate34.9%29.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.61x0.52x
Pulls indexed1061,837

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Platinum Pack: 954 points from Aug 6 to Oct 31, starting at 0.65x and ending at 1.06x, up overall (+64.9%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.31x. Football Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 4 to Oct 31, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+7.4%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.06x.

Football Platinum PackFootball Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Football Platinum Pack vs Football Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Platinum Pack or Football Pro Pack?
Football Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.065x vs 0.883x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Platinum Pack: 34.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Pro Pack: 29.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.61x vs 0.52x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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