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Football Platinum Pack vs Football Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.933x cash-out ratio against Football Platinum Pack's 0.703x, across 227 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Platinum PackFootball Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$500$50
Calibrated EV$415.52$51.63
Cash-out ratio0.703x0.933x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.831x1.033x
Median pull$413.35$44.40
Hit rate33.3%33.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.25x0.50x
Pulls indexed6221

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Platinum Pack: 337 points from Aug 6 to Sep 10, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.70x, up overall (+11.9%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.83x. Football Pro Pack: 524 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 1.33x and ending at 0.93x, down overall (-30.0%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.57x.

Football Platinum PackFootball Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Football Platinum Pack vs Football Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Platinum Pack or Football Pro Pack?
Football Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.933x vs 0.703x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Platinum Pack: 33.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Pro Pack: 33.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.25x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Football Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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