Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.867x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.842x, across 4,436 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $101.89 | $14.66 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.867x | 0.842x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.019x | 0.977x |
| Median pull | $83.90 | $12.90 |
| Hit rate | 29.4% | 18.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.47x | 0.40x |
| Pulls indexed | 313 | 4,123 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 692 points from Jul 12 to Oct 1, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+36.8%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 692 points from Jul 12 to Oct 1, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.78x and 1.10x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Football Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.867x vs 0.842x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 29.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 18.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies