PullValue

Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 1.064x EV ratio against Football Master Pack's 0.871x, across 34 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Master PackWildcard Basic Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$15
Calibrated EV$87.07$15.96
EV ratio0.871x1.064x
Cash-out EV ratio0.737x0.956x
Median pull$79.00$12.50
Hit rate40.0%13.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.28x0.52x
Pulls indexed529

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Football Master PackWildcard Basic Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.064x vs 0.871x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Master Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 13.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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