Football Master Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.914x cash-out ratio against Sports Starter Pack's 0.911x, across 1,564 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $107.44 | $25.30 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.914x | 0.911x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.074x | 1.012x |
| Median pull | $83.10 | $18.90 |
| Hit rate | 31.0% | 32.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 197 | 1,367 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 584 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+44.2%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x. Sports Starter Pack: 583 points from Jul 18 to Sep 18, starting at 0.53x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+72.2%), ranging between 0.53x and 1.66x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Football Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.914x vs 0.911x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 31.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 32.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.50x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies