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Football Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 1.149x EV ratio against Football Master Pack's 1.110x, across 40 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Master PackSports Pro Pack
VerdictCAUTIONEARLY READ
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$110.98$57.45
EV ratio1.110x1.149x
Cash-out EV ratio0.939x1.034x
Median pull$88.90$46.65
Hit rate42.3%42.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.38x0.36x
Pulls indexed2614

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 175 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.84x and ending at 1.11x, up overall (+31.8%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.20x. Sports Pro Pack: 175 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.97x and ending at 1.15x, up overall (+18.9%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.21x.

Football Master PackSports Pro Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Football Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.149x vs 1.110x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Master Pack: 42.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 42.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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