Football Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.942x cash-out ratio against Football Master Pack's 0.893x, across 522 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $105.05 | $54.61 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.893x | 0.942x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.050x | 1.092x |
| Median pull | $84.35 | $45.00 |
| Hit rate | 30.4% | 33.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.53x |
| Pulls indexed | 270 | 252 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 648 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+41.7%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x. Sports Pro Pack: 648 points from Jul 12 to Sep 27, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.94x, up overall (+28.5%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.04x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.942x vs 0.893x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 30.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies