Football Master Pack vs Football Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.991x cash-out ratio against Football Master Pack's 0.777x, across 253 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Master Pack | Football Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $91.83 | $26.85 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.777x | 0.991x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.918x | 1.074x |
| Median pull | $84.40 | $22.50 |
| Hit rate | 31.5% | 33.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.45x |
| Pulls indexed | 89 | 164 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.78x, up overall (+9.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.01x. Football Starter Pack: 459 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+40.6%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.15x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Master Pack vs Football Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Football Starter Pack?
- Football Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.991x vs 0.777x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Master Pack: 31.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Starter Pack: 33.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Football Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies