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Football Master Pack vs Football Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Football Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.777x cash-out ratio against Football Platinum Pack's 0.703x, across 95 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricFootball Master PackFootball Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$500
Calibrated EV$91.83$415.52
Cash-out ratio0.777x0.703x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.918x0.831x
Median pull$84.40$413.35
Hit rate31.5%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.37x0.25x
Pulls indexed896

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Master Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.78x, up overall (+9.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.01x. Football Platinum Pack: 337 points from Aug 6 to Sep 10, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.70x, up overall (+11.9%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.83x.

Football Master PackFootball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Football Master Pack vs Football Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Football Master Pack or Football Platinum Pack?
Football Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.777x vs 0.703x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Football Master Pack: 31.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Platinum Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.37x vs 0.25x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Football Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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