Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.839x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.836x, across 357 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Basic Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.62 | $49.01 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.839x | 0.836x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.975x | 0.980x |
| Median pull | $12.70 | $42.70 |
| Hit rate | 16.2% | 23.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.41x | 0.34x |
| Pulls indexed | 148 | 209 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Basic Pack: 459 points from Aug 15 to Sep 30, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+6.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.92x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 666 points from Jul 29 to Sep 30, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+25.3%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Basic Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Basic Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Football Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.839x vs 0.836x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Basic Pack: 16.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 23.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies