Football Basic Pack vs Football Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.821x cash-out ratio against Football Master Pack's 0.819x, across 1,078 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Basic Pack | Football Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.18 | $96.58 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.821x | 0.819x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.945x | 0.966x |
| Median pull | $12.80 | $84.80 |
| Hit rate | 18.6% | 28.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.38x | 0.42x |
| Pulls indexed | 397 | 681 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Basic Pack: 765 points from Aug 15 to Oct 25, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+3.5%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.93x. Football Master Pack: 990 points from Jul 12 to Oct 25, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+29.6%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.02x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Basic Pack vs Football Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Basic Pack or Football Master Pack?
- Football Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.821x vs 0.819x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Basic Pack: 18.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Football Master Pack: 28.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Basic Pack EV & verdict · Football Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies