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Comic Diamond Pack vs Silver Age Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Silver Age Pack is currently the better value: a 0.895x cash-out ratio against Comic Diamond Pack's 0.675x, across 24 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricComic Diamond PackSilver Age Pack
VerdictSKIPNO DATA
Pack price$1000$500
Calibrated EV$797.77$529.07
Cash-out ratio0.675x0.895x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.798x1.058x
Median pull$770.00$459.10
Hit rate14.3%40.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.21x0.40x
Pulls indexed1410

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Comic Diamond Pack: 1000 points from Aug 15 to Nov 7, starting at 0.99x and ending at 0.68x, down overall (-31.5%), ranging between 0.65x and 0.99x. Silver Age Pack: 1000 points from Aug 15 to Nov 7, starting at 1.60x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-44.0%), ranging between 0.54x and 1.60x.

Comic Diamond PackSilver Age Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Comic Diamond Pack vs Silver Age Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Comic Diamond Pack or Silver Age Pack?
Silver Age Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.895x vs 0.675x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Comic Diamond Pack: 14.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Silver Age Pack: 40.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Silver Age Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.21x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Comic Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Silver Age Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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