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Bronze Age Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Bronze Age Pack is currently the better value: a 1.067x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.836x, across 285 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBronze Age PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictBUYSKIP
Pack price$200$50
Calibrated EV$252.22$49.01
Cash-out ratio1.067x0.836x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.261x0.980x
Median pull$165.50$42.70
Hit rate36.8%23.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.78x0.34x
Pulls indexed76209

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Bronze Age Pack: 621 points from Aug 2 to Sep 30, starting at 0.54x and ending at 1.07x, up overall (+97.2%), ranging between 0.54x and 1.09x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 666 points from Jul 29 to Sep 30, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+25.3%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

Bronze Age PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Bronze Age Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Bronze Age Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Bronze Age Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.067x vs 0.836x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Bronze Age Pack: 36.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 23.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Bronze Age Pack has the higher volatility (0.78x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Bronze Age Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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