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Bronze Age Pack vs Comic Diamond Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Bronze Age Pack is currently the better value: a 1.067x cash-out ratio against Comic Diamond Pack's 0.659x, across 81 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBronze Age PackComic Diamond Pack
VerdictBUYSKIP
Pack price$200$1000
Calibrated EV$252.22$779.54
Cash-out ratio1.067x0.659x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.261x0.780x
Median pull$165.50$770.00
Hit rate36.8%20.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.78x0.18x
Pulls indexed765

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Bronze Age Pack: 576 points from Aug 2 to Sep 24, starting at 0.54x and ending at 1.07x, up overall (+97.2%), ranging between 0.54x and 1.09x. Comic Diamond Pack: 565 points from Aug 3 to Sep 23, starting at 0.99x and ending at 0.66x, down overall (-33.2%), ranging between 0.66x and 0.99x.

Bronze Age PackComic Diamond Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Bronze Age Pack vs Comic Diamond Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Bronze Age Pack or Comic Diamond Pack?
Bronze Age Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.067x vs 0.659x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Bronze Age Pack: 36.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Comic Diamond Pack: 20.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Bronze Age Pack has the higher volatility (0.78x vs 0.18x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Bronze Age Pack EV & verdict · Comic Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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