Basketball Ultra Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.913x cash-out ratio against Basketball Ultra Pack's 0.857x, across 3,368 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Ultra Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $252.45 | $26.04 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.857x | 0.913x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.010x | 1.042x |
| Median pull | $215.00 | $19.60 |
| Hit rate | 24.7% | 35.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.33x | 0.75x |
| Pulls indexed | 247 | 3,121 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 3 to Oct 30, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+20.0%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x. Sports Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 3 to Oct 30, starting at 0.88x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+4.3%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.99x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Ultra Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Ultra Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.913x vs 0.857x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Ultra Pack: 24.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 35.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.75x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies