Basketball Ultra Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.964x cash-out ratio against Basketball Ultra Pack's 0.777x, across 328 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Ultra Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $229.10 | $55.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.777x | 0.964x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.916x | 1.116x |
| Median pull | $205.00 | $44.90 |
| Hit rate | 16.5% | 33.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.39x | 0.55x |
| Pulls indexed | 103 | 225 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Ultra Pack: 602 points from Jul 28 to Sep 21, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.78x, up overall (+10.7%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.09x. Sports Pro Pack: 614 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.96x, up overall (+31.3%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.04x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Ultra Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Ultra Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.964x vs 0.777x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Ultra Pack: 16.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 33.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.55x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies