Basketball Starter Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.981x cash-out ratio against Basketball Starter Pack's 0.916x, across 4,586 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Starter Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $25.59 | $27.93 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.916x | 0.981x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.024x | 1.117x |
| Median pull | $22.70 | $19.00 |
| Hit rate | 27.5% | 35.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.44x | 0.77x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,744 | 2,842 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Starter Pack: 995 points from Jul 28 to Oct 26, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+32.6%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.95x. Sports Starter Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 0.52x and ending at 0.98x, up overall (+90.1%), ranging between 0.52x and 1.62x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Starter Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Starter Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.981x vs 0.916x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Starter Pack: 27.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 35.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.77x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies