Basketball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.887x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.850x, across 2,302 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Pro Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $51.49 | $49.91 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.887x | 0.850x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.030x | 0.998x |
| Median pull | $43.97 | $43.60 |
| Hit rate | 31.3% | 30.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.53x | 0.40x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,577 | 725 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.98x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-9.4%), ranging between 0.77x and 0.99x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.73x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Pro Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Basketball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.887x vs 0.850x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Pro Pack: 31.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 30.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies