Basketball Pro Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.872x cash-out ratio against Basketball Ultra Pack's 0.765x, across 1,350 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Pro Pack | Basketball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $50.55 | $225.77 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.872x | 0.765x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.011x | 0.903x |
| Median pull | $43.80 | $210.40 |
| Hit rate | 28.7% | 21.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,127 | 223 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Pro Pack: 983 points from Jul 28 to Oct 25, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+4.9%), ranging between 0.77x and 1.00x. Basketball Ultra Pack: 982 points from Jul 28 to Oct 25, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.77x, up overall (+9.0%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.09x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Pro Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Pro Pack or Basketball Ultra Pack?
- Basketball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.872x vs 0.765x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Pro Pack: 28.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Ultra Pack: 21.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies