Basketball Pro Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Basketball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.910x cash-out ratio against Basketball Ultra Pack's 0.786x, across 185 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Basketball Pro Pack | Basketball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $49.26 | $230.48 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.910x | 0.786x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.985x | 0.922x |
| Median pull | $44.80 | $220.00 |
| Hit rate | 27.6% | 20.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.43x | 0.49x |
| Pulls indexed | 156 | 29 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Pro Pack: 459 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 0.89x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+2.2%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.07x. Basketball Ultra Pack: 458 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.79x, up overall (+11.3%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.10x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Basketball Pro Pack vs Basketball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Basketball Pro Pack or Basketball Ultra Pack?
- Basketball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.910x vs 0.786x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Basketball Pro Pack: 27.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Ultra Pack: 20.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Basketball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.43x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Basketball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies