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Basketball Platinum Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.909x cash-out ratio against Sports Platinum Pack's 0.874x, across 161 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Platinum PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$500$500
Calibrated EV$524.34$499.39
Cash-out ratio0.909x0.874x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.049x0.999x
Median pull$438.15$434.00
Hit rate33.0%34.7%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.42x0.35x
Pulls indexed11249

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.80x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+14.3%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.00x. Sports Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+24.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.23x.

Basketball Platinum PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Platinum Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Platinum Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Basketball Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.909x vs 0.874x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Platinum Pack: 33.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 34.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Basketball Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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