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Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 1.030x EV ratio against Basketball Master Pack's 0.915x, across 37 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Master PackSports Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$91.53$51.49
EV ratio0.915x1.030x
Cash-out EV ratio0.774x0.950x
Median pull$89.50$43.95
Hit rate17.6%35.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.26x0.34x
Pulls indexed1720

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 194 points from Jul 3 to Aug 6, starting at 1.89x and ending at 0.92x, down overall (-51.5%), ranging between 0.83x and 1.89x. Sports Pro Pack: 194 points from Jul 3 to Aug 6, starting at 0.97x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+6.6%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.21x.

Basketball Master PackSports Pro Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.030x vs 0.915x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Master Pack: 17.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 35.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.34x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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