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Basketball Master Pack vs Basketball Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Basketball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.826x cash-out ratio against Basketball Platinum Pack's 0.823x, across 702 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBasketball Master PackBasketball Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$500
Calibrated EV$97.16$476.19
Cash-out ratio0.826x0.823x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.972x0.952x
Median pull$87.20$436.20
Hit rate26.6%29.7%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.46x0.34x
Pulls indexed62874

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Basketball Master Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 1.45x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-42.8%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.45x. Basketball Platinum Pack: 986 points from Jul 29 to Oct 26, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+8.0%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.97x.

Basketball Master PackBasketball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Basketball Master Pack vs Basketball Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Basketball Master Pack or Basketball Platinum Pack?
Basketball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.826x vs 0.823x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Basketball Master Pack: 26.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Basketball Platinum Pack: 29.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Basketball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Basketball Master Pack EV & verdict · Basketball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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