Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.883x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.782x, across 346 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $231.01 | $51.73 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.782x | 0.883x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.924x | 1.035x |
| Median pull | $214.40 | $43.00 |
| Hit rate | 21.8% | 25.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.42x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 78 | 268 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 697 points from Aug 1 to Oct 5, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.78x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 726 points from Jul 29 to Oct 5, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+32.4%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.883x vs 0.782x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 21.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 25.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies