Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.852x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.772x, across 871 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $228.27 | $49.73 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.772x | 0.852x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.913x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $213.95 | $44.10 |
| Hit rate | 25.0% | 32.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.36x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 148 | 723 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.77x, down overall (-1.7%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Sports Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.98x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-13.3%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.01x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.852x vs 0.772x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 32.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies