Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.915x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.864x, across 239 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $255.42 | $52.74 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.864x | 0.915x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.022x | 1.055x |
| Median pull | $220.05 | $44.50 |
| Hit rate | 25.9% | 32.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.51x |
| Pulls indexed | 54 | 185 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 538 points from Aug 1 to Sep 18, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+10.1%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Sports Pro Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+24.2%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.05x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.915x vs 0.864x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 25.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 32.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.46x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies