Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.048x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.858x, across 66 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Sports Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $253.63 | $601.35 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.858x | 1.048x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.015x | 1.203x |
| Median pull | $219.00 | $412.30 |
| Hit rate | 25.4% | 27.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.50x |
| Pulls indexed | 55 | 11 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 548 points from Aug 1 to Sep 19, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+9.3%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Sports Platinum Pack: 440 points from Aug 8 to Sep 19, starting at 0.70x and ending at 1.05x, up overall (+49.5%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.05x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
- Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.048x vs 0.858x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 25.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 27.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.46x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies