Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.874x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.766x, across 199 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Ultra Pack | Sports Platinum Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $500 |
| Calibrated EV | $226.23 | $499.39 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.766x | 0.874x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.905x | 0.999x |
| Median pull | $213.95 | $434.00 |
| Hit rate | 24.7% | 34.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.36x | 0.35x |
| Pulls indexed | 150 | 49 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.77x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x. Sports Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+24.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.23x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Ultra Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Ultra Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
- Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.874x vs 0.766x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Ultra Pack: 24.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 34.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies