Baseball Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.858x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.843x, across 2,693 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Starter Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.37 | $14.46 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.858x | 0.843x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.975x | 0.964x |
| Median pull | $21.90 | $13.00 |
| Hit rate | 25.1% | 19.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.56x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 415 | 2,278 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Starter Pack: 579 points from Jul 28 to Sep 19, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+18.8%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.34x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 590 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Starter Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Starter Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Baseball Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.858x vs 0.843x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Starter Pack: 25.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.56x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies