Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.969x cash-out ratio against Baseball Starter Pack's 0.852x, across 4,320 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Starter Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.84 | $27.57 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.852x | 0.969x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.994x | 1.103x |
| Median pull | $21.90 | $18.90 |
| Hit rate | 25.2% | 34.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.43x | 0.78x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,559 | 2,761 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Starter Pack: 966 points from Jul 28 to Oct 24, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+21.2%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.30x. Sports Starter Pack: 975 points from Jul 18 to Oct 24, starting at 0.52x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+87.4%), ranging between 0.52x and 1.62x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Starter Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.969x vs 0.852x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Starter Pack: 25.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 34.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.78x vs 0.43x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies