Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.861x cash-out ratio against Sports Pro Pack's 0.850x, across 2,198 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Starter Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $25.12 | $49.63 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.861x | 0.850x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.005x | 0.993x |
| Median pull | $21.90 | $44.50 |
| Hit rate | 25.5% | 32.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.43x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,626 | 572 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Starter Pack: 992 points from Jul 28 to Oct 26, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+22.5%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.30x. Sports Pro Pack: 1000 points from Jul 25 to Oct 26, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+16.8%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.03x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Starter Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Baseball Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.861x vs 0.850x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Starter Pack: 25.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 32.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.43x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies