Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.989x cash-out ratio against Sports Pro Pack's 0.929x, across 259 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Starter Pack | Sports Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $26.86 | $51.75 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.989x | 0.929x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.074x | 1.035x |
| Median pull | $22.20 | $44.85 |
| Hit rate | 29.4% | 32.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.72x | 0.46x |
| Pulls indexed | 163 | 96 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Starter Pack: 459 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 0.76x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+31.0%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.40x. Sports Pro Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.87x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+7.2%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.08x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Starter Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Starter Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
- Baseball Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.989x vs 0.929x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Starter Pack: 29.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 32.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.72x vs 0.46x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies