Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.848x cash-out ratio against Baseball Pro Pack's 0.817x, across 1,618 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Pro Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $47.46 | $49.74 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.817x | 0.848x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.949x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $43.30 | $43.55 |
| Hit rate | 28.9% | 30.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.42x | 0.40x |
| Pulls indexed | 896 | 722 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.82x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.74x and 0.91x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-1.4%), ranging between 0.73x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Pro Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.848x vs 0.817x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Pro Pack: 28.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 30.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies