Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.886x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.843x, across 2,696 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Pro Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $51.60 | $14.50 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.886x | 0.843x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.032x | 0.967x |
| Median pull | $43.55 | $12.90 |
| Hit rate | 25.7% | 19.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 210 | 2,486 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Pro Pack: 615 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 1.71x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-48.0%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.71x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 615 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-0.9%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.11x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Pro Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Pro Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Baseball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.886x vs 0.843x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Pro Pack: 25.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies