Baseball Pro Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.817x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.772x, across 1,033 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Pro Pack | Baseball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $47.53 | $228.27 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.817x | 0.772x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.951x | 0.913x |
| Median pull | $43.30 | $213.95 |
| Hit rate | 28.7% | 25.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.42x | 0.36x |
| Pulls indexed | 885 | 148 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.87x and ending at 0.82x, down overall (-5.8%), ranging between 0.74x and 0.91x. Baseball Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.77x, down overall (-1.7%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Pro Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Pro Pack or Baseball Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.817x vs 0.772x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Pro Pack: 28.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Ultra Pack: 25.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies