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Baseball Platinum Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.048x cash-out ratio against Baseball Platinum Pack's 0.739x, across 29 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Platinum PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$500$500
Calibrated EV$436.99$601.35
Cash-out ratio0.739x1.048x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.874x1.203x
Median pull$402.85$412.30
Hit rate22.2%27.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.22x0.50x
Pulls indexed1811

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Platinum Pack: 551 points from Aug 1 to Sep 19, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.74x, up overall (+16.4%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.87x. Sports Platinum Pack: 441 points from Aug 8 to Sep 19, starting at 0.70x and ending at 1.05x, up overall (+49.5%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.05x.

Baseball Platinum PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Platinum Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Platinum Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.048x vs 0.739x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Platinum Pack: 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 27.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.22x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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