Baseball Platinum Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.815x cash-out ratio against Baseball Platinum Pack's 0.805x, across 161 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Platinum Pack | Baseball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $476.02 | $240.95 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.805x | 0.815x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.952x | 0.964x |
| Median pull | $414.50 | $214.40 |
| Hit rate | 34.7% | 24.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 49 | 112 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Platinum Pack: 934 points from Aug 1 to Oct 24, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+26.8%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.18x. Baseball Ultra Pack: 932 points from Aug 1 to Oct 24, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+3.8%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Platinum Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Platinum Pack or Baseball Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.815x vs 0.805x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Platinum Pack: 34.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Ultra Pack: 24.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies