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Baseball Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.067x EV ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.980x, across 406 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Master PackWildcard Basic Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$100$15
Calibrated EV$106.70$14.70
EV ratio1.067x0.980x
Cash-out EV ratio0.903x0.929x
Median pull$84.45$13.05
Hit rate18.8%16.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.58x0.38x
Pulls indexed16390

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 204 points from Jul 3 to Aug 7, starting at 0.64x and ending at 1.07x, up overall (+68.0%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.17x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 204 points from Jul 3 to Aug 7, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.98x, up overall (+1.8%), ranging between 0.89x and 1.28x.

Baseball Master PackWildcard Basic Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.067x vs 0.980x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Master Pack: 18.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 16.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.58x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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