Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.913x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.891x, across 1,535 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $104.79 | $25.42 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.891x | 0.913x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.048x | 1.017x |
| Median pull | $86.10 | $19.00 |
| Hit rate | 27.3% | 32.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.52x | 0.69x |
| Pulls indexed | 121 | 1,414 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 596 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+32.6%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x. Sports Starter Pack: 594 points from Jul 18 to Sep 19, starting at 0.53x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+72.5%), ranging between 0.53x and 1.66x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.913x vs 0.891x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 27.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 32.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.52x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies