Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.930x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.879x, across 4,137 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Sports Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $102.88 | $26.58 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.879x | 0.930x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.029x | 1.063x |
| Median pull | $85.25 | $20.10 |
| Hit rate | 32.5% | 35.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.75x |
| Pulls indexed | 514 | 3,623 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.88x, down overall (-8.7%), ranging between 0.80x and 1.29x. Sports Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.93x and ending at 0.93x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.82x and 0.98x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Starter Pack?
- Sports Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.930x vs 0.879x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 32.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Starter Pack: 35.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.75x vs 0.46x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies