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Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.915x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.894x, across 302 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Master PackSports Pro Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$100$50
Calibrated EV$105.03$52.74
Cash-out ratio0.894x0.915x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.050x1.055x
Median pull$85.80$44.50
Hit rate27.4%32.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.52x0.51x
Pulls indexed117185

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+33.0%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x. Sports Pro Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+24.2%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.05x.

Baseball Master PackSports Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Pro Pack?
Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.915x vs 0.894x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Master Pack: 27.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Pro Pack: 32.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.51x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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