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Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.882x cash-out ratio against Sports Platinum Pack's 0.846x, across 565 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Master PackSports Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$100$500
Calibrated EV$103.19$483.71
Cash-out ratio0.882x0.846x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.032x0.967x
Median pull$85.40$434.00
Hit rate32.6%34.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.46x0.35x
Pulls indexed51550

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 10 to Nov 4, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.88x, down overall (-8.4%), ranging between 0.80x and 1.29x. Sports Platinum Pack: 1000 points from Aug 10 to Nov 4, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+20.3%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.22x.

Baseball Master PackSports Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Platinum Pack?
Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.882x vs 0.846x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Master Pack: 32.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Platinum Pack: 34.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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