Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.900x cash-out ratio against Sports Basic Pack's 0.840x, across 1,272 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Sports Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $105.93 | $14.62 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.900x | 0.840x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.059x | 0.975x |
| Median pull | $86.50 | $12.60 |
| Hit rate | 29.9% | 17.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.42x |
| Pulls indexed | 157 | 1,115 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 633 points from Jul 12 to Sep 23, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+34.1%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x. Sports Basic Pack: 621 points from Jul 28 to Sep 23, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+12.4%), ranging between 0.75x and 0.89x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Sports Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Sports Basic Pack?
- Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.900x vs 0.840x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 29.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Basic Pack: 17.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.50x vs 0.42x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies