Baseball Master Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.868x cash-out ratio against Baseball Ultra Pack's 0.758x, across 46 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Baseball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $102.57 | $224.04 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.868x | 0.758x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.026x | 0.896x |
| Median pull | $85.75 | $219.75 |
| Hit rate | 26.3% | 0.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.57x | 0.08x |
| Pulls indexed | 38 | 8 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.54x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+61.3%), ranging between 0.52x and 1.28x. Baseball Ultra Pack: 423 points from Aug 1 to Sep 10, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.76x, down overall (-3.4%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.80x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Baseball Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.868x vs 0.758x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 26.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Ultra Pack: 0.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.08x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies