Baseball Master Pack vs Baseball Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.854x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.851x, across 2,721 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Master Pack | Baseball Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.56 | $24.90 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.851x | 0.854x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.996x | 0.996x |
| Median pull | $85.05 | $21.90 |
| Hit rate | 31.9% | 27.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.45x |
| Pulls indexed | 504 | 2,217 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-6.7%), ranging between 0.80x and 1.29x. Baseball Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+3.1%), ranging between 0.81x and 1.30x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Master Pack vs Baseball Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Baseball Starter Pack?
- Baseball Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.854x vs 0.851x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Master Pack: 31.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Starter Pack: 27.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Neither stands out: both sit at about 0.45x stddev/EV, so on this measure they are level.
Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies