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Baseball Master Pack vs Baseball Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.887x cash-out ratio against Baseball Platinum Pack's 0.786x, across 46 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Master PackBaseball Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$100$500
Calibrated EV$104.89$464.80
Cash-out ratio0.887x0.786x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.049x0.930x
Median pull$86.50$392.00
Hit rate28.2%28.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.57x0.19x
Pulls indexed397

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Master Pack: 478 points from Jul 12 to Sep 11, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+32.8%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.28x. Baseball Platinum Pack: 433 points from Aug 1 to Sep 11, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.79x, up overall (+23.8%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.87x.

Baseball Master PackBaseball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Master Pack vs Baseball Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Master Pack or Baseball Platinum Pack?
Baseball Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.887x vs 0.786x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Master Pack: 28.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Platinum Pack: 28.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.19x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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