Baseball Legend Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.799x cash-out ratio against Baseball Legend Pack's 0.671x, across 116 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Legend Pack | Baseball Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $1981.72 | $236.11 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.671x | 0.799x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.793x | 0.944x |
| Median pull | $2259.00 | $214.00 |
| Hit rate | 0.0% | 23.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.06x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 5 | 111 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Legend Pack: 791 points from Aug 10 to Oct 23, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.67x, down overall (-14.0%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.79x. Baseball Ultra Pack: 922 points from Aug 1 to Oct 23, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+1.8%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.91x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Legend Pack vs Baseball Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Legend Pack or Baseball Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.799x vs 0.671x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Legend Pack: 0.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Ultra Pack: 23.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.06x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies