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Baseball Legend Pack vs Baseball Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.783x cash-out ratio against Baseball Legend Pack's 0.671x, across 53 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Legend PackBaseball Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$2500$500
Calibrated EV$1981.72$462.97
Cash-out ratio0.671x0.783x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.793x0.926x
Median pull$2259.00$414.10
Hit rate0.0%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.06x0.51x
Pulls indexed548

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Legend Pack: 791 points from Aug 10 to Oct 23, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.67x, down overall (-14.0%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.79x. Baseball Platinum Pack: 924 points from Aug 1 to Oct 23, starting at 0.64x and ending at 0.78x, up overall (+23.3%), ranging between 0.64x and 1.18x.

Baseball Legend PackBaseball Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Legend Pack vs Baseball Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Legend Pack or Baseball Platinum Pack?
Baseball Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.783x vs 0.671x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Legend Pack: 0.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Platinum Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.06x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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