Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Diamond Pack is currently the better value: a 1.014x cash-out ratio against Baseball Master Pack's 0.885x, across 130 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Diamond Pack | Baseball Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $1198.54 | $104.01 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.014x | 0.885x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.199x | 1.040x |
| Median pull | $888.90 | $85.95 |
| Hit rate | 40.0% | 26.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.30x | 0.52x |
| Pulls indexed | 10 | 120 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Diamond Pack: 390 points from Aug 13 to Sep 19, starting at 0.63x and ending at 1.01x, up overall (+61.2%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.16x. Baseball Master Pack: 588 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+31.7%), ranging between 0.67x and 1.29x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Diamond Pack or Baseball Master Pack?
- Baseball Diamond Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.014x vs 0.885x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Diamond Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Master Pack: 26.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.52x vs 0.30x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies