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Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Legend Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Baseball Diamond Pack is currently the better value: a 0.831x cash-out ratio against Baseball Legend Pack's 0.671x, across 31 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricBaseball Diamond PackBaseball Legend Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$1000$2500
Calibrated EV$982.82$1981.72
Cash-out ratio0.831x0.671x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.983x0.793x
Median pull$848.85$2259.00
Hit rate38.5%0.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.41x0.06x
Pulls indexed265

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Diamond Pack: 770 points from Aug 13 to Oct 23, starting at 0.63x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+32.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 1.39x. Baseball Legend Pack: 791 points from Aug 10 to Oct 23, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.67x, down overall (-14.0%), ranging between 0.67x and 0.79x.

Baseball Diamond PackBaseball Legend Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Baseball Diamond Pack vs Baseball Legend Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Baseball Diamond Pack or Baseball Legend Pack?
Baseball Diamond Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.831x vs 0.671x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Baseball Diamond Pack: 38.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Legend Pack: 0.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Baseball Diamond Pack has the higher volatility (0.41x vs 0.06x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Baseball Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Legend Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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