Baseball Basic Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.843x cash-out ratio against Baseball Basic Pack's 0.817x, across 2,435 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Basic Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $14.39 | $14.46 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.817x | 0.843x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.959x | 0.964x |
| Median pull | $12.60 | $13.00 |
| Hit rate | 14.0% | 19.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 157 | 2,278 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Basic Pack: 562 points from Jul 30 to Sep 19, starting at 0.77x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+6.1%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.02x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 590 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Basic Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Basic Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.843x vs 0.817x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Basic Pack: 14.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Basic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies