Baseball Basic Pack vs Sports Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.926x cash-out ratio against Baseball Basic Pack's 0.800x, across 229 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Basic Pack | Sports Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $15 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $13.34 | $15.17 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.800x | 0.926x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.889x | 1.011x |
| Median pull | $13.50 | $12.70 |
| Hit rate | 13.3% | 19.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.37x |
| Pulls indexed | 15 | 214 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Basic Pack: 443 points from Jul 30 to Sep 10, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.80x, down overall (-2.0%), ranging between 0.80x and 1.07x. Sports Basic Pack: 458 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 0.79x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+16.6%), ranging between 0.79x and 0.94x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Basic Pack vs Sports Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Basic Pack or Sports Basic Pack?
- Sports Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.926x vs 0.800x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Basic Pack: 13.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Basic Pack: 19.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.37x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Basic Pack EV & verdict · Sports Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies