Baseball Basic Pack vs Baseball Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.838x cash-out ratio against Baseball Basic Pack's 0.807x, across 111 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Basic Pack | Baseball Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $13.34 | $47.89 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.807x | 0.838x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.889x | 0.958x |
| Median pull | $13.50 | $42.70 |
| Hit rate | 13.3% | 26.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 15 | 96 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Basic Pack: 446 points from Jul 30 to Sep 11, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-1.9%), ranging between 0.81x and 1.08x. Baseball Pro Pack: 473 points from Jul 12 to Sep 11, starting at 1.74x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-51.7%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.74x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Basic Pack vs Baseball Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Basic Pack or Baseball Pro Pack?
- Baseball Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.838x vs 0.807x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Basic Pack: 13.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Baseball Pro Pack: 26.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Basic Pack EV & verdict · Baseball Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies