Football Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.132x EV ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.972x, across 220 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Ultra Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $282.90 | $14.58 |
| EV ratio | 1.132x | 0.972x |
| Cash-out EV ratio | 0.957x | 0.913x |
| Median pull | $221.00 | $13.20 |
| Hit rate | 40.0% | 16.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.47x | 0.37x |
| Pulls indexed | 5 | 215 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Ultra Pack: 140 points from Jul 3 to Aug 4, starting at 1.17x and ending at 1.13x, down overall (-3.3%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.64x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 141 points from Jul 3 to Aug 4, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+0.9%), ranging between 0.89x and 1.28x.
Football Ultra PackWildcard Basic Pack
Ratios computed against each pack's current price.
03 / Quick answers
Football Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Ultra Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Football Ultra Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.132x vs 0.972x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Ultra Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 16.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies