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EV Ratio Explained: How to Know If a Pack Is Worth Buying

A beginner-friendly guide to understanding and using EV Ratios for mystery pack purchasing decisions.

The One Number That Matters

When you look at a mystery pack on PullValue.io, the most important number is the EV Ratio. This single metric tells you instantly whether a pack is a good deal or a money trap.

Reading the EV Ratio

Think of 1.0x as the break-even line:

  • **1.200x** — For every $1 you spend, you get back $1.20 (on average). That's a great deal.
  • **1.000x** — Break even. You get back exactly what you paid (on average).
  • **0.850x** — For every $1 you spend, you get back $0.85. You're losing 15 cents per dollar.
  • **0.500x** — Terrible. You're losing half your money on average.

    • Our Verdict System

    We assign a verdict based on the EV ratio:

    🟢 BUY — EV Ratio ≥ 1.0x — The pack is statistically profitable

    🟡 HOLD — EV Ratio 0.85-0.99x — Close to break-even, proceed with caution

    🔴 AVOID — EV Ratio < 0.85x — You're expected to lose money

    Key Takeaway

    Check the EV Ratio. If it's green, you have the math on your side. If it's red, your money is better spent elsewhere.

    Ready to Check the Data?

    See live EV ratios for every Courtyard.io pack.

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